TCMB survey announced: Here are the interest, inflation and dollar expectations

The Central Bank (CBRT) announced the results of the August market participant survey.

Accordingly, the 2024 year-end USD/TL expectation, which was 37.37 in the previous survey, was 37.28 in the August survey.

The 12-month-ahead dollar exchange rate expectation, which was 41.52 in the July survey, was 42.03 in the August survey.

INTEREST RATE EXPECTATIONS DECREASED

Participants' expectation for the current month-end overnight interest rate in the BIST Repo and Reverse-Repo Market was 50.30 percent in the previous survey period, while it was 50.00 percent in this survey period.

The CBRT one-week repo auction interest rate current month-end expectation was 50.00 percent in the August survey, as in the previous survey period.

INFLATION EXPECTATIONS INCREASED

Participants' current year-end consumer inflation (CPI) expectation was 42.95 percent in the July survey, while it was 43.31 percent in the August survey.

While the 12-month CPI expectation was 30.02 percent in the previous survey period, it became 28.71 percent in this survey period. The 24-month CPI expectation was 19.32 percent and 19.30 percent in the same survey periods, respectively.

GROWTH EXPECTATIONS HAVE DECREASED

Participants' GDP growth expectation for 2024 was 3.4 percent in this survey period, as in the previous survey period.

The GDP growth expectation for 2025 was 3.6 percent in the previous survey period, while this survey
was 3.5 percent in the period.

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